Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 0.200864 0.232982 0.268603 0.311045 0.360255 0.415537 0.482388
2025-06-01 0.152356 0.195806 0.249128 0.319420 0.409743 0.522053 0.672566
2025-06-08 0.124203 0.171254 0.233145 0.320603 0.441218 0.602052 0.833440
2025-06-15 0.106682 0.155771 0.224102 0.326295 0.475616 0.686435 1.007875
2025-06-22 0.090174 0.138343 0.208748 0.319335 0.489199 0.741180 1.145216
2025-06-29 0.078376 0.125678 0.197901 0.316433 0.506833 0.802074 1.297346
2025-07-06 0.069977 0.116833 0.191283 0.318472 0.531315 0.875014 1.475932
2025-07-13 0.065608 0.113725 0.193064 0.333762 0.578352 0.988511 1.733826
2025-07-20 0.061054 0.109604 0.192474 0.344651 0.618790 1.095024 1.992231
2025-07-27 0.056946 0.105657 0.191558 0.354576 0.658281 1.203756 2.267069
2025-08-03 0.052346 0.100201 0.187230 0.357613 0.685298 1.292710 2.515667
2025-08-10 0.047411 0.093482 0.179754 0.353728 0.698590 1.357316 2.725033
2025-08-17 0.042081 0.085454 0.169077 0.342751 0.697551 1.395842 2.890914
2025-08-24 0.039618 0.082822 0.168537 0.351804 0.737485 1.519268 3.244569
2025-08-31 0.036613 0.078690 0.164493 0.353112 0.761498 1.613008 3.547513
2025-09-07 0.034408 0.075956 0.162950 0.359387 0.796534 1.733213 3.921758
2025-09-14 0.031198 0.070657 0.155394 0.351715 0.800246 1.786771 4.154654
2025-09-21 0.028705 0.066648 0.150155 0.348516 0.813440 1.862337 4.446696
2025-09-28 0.026877 0.063933 0.147463 0.350764 0.839287 1.969075 4.824758
2025-10-05 0.026237 0.063913 0.150864 0.367616 0.901392 2.166309 5.445012
2025-10-12 0.025290 0.063044 0.152185 0.379619 0.953190 2.344982 6.041816
2025-10-19 0.024330 0.062028 0.153039 0.390560 1.003627 2.526006 6.667302
2025-10-26 0.022991 0.059908 0.150971 0.393908 1.035232 2.663881 7.198097